Navigating a Recession: A Comprehensive Guide to Profit from Short-Term Rentals

Are we in a recession in 2023? This is a common question on many people's minds, given the current global economic dynamics.

The U.S. Federal Reserve has raised the interest rate to 1.75% to contain rampant inflation, the largest increment since 1994. This surge in borrowing costs is being passed on to consumers and businesses through higher rates on loans, affecting the purchase of houses, cars, and other commodities, including travel.

Inflation and its Economic Implications

The economic scene since the 1990s has been dominated by inflationary trends, affecting all items, including food and energy. Economists hold differing opinions about the possibility and nature of a potential recession. While some anticipate a milder recession with a long recovery period, others foresee a shift towards frugality and increased savings among consumers.

Despite the uncertainty, one thing is clear: preparing for any potential economic downturn is prudent.


An Unprecedented Recession?

This potential recession promises to deviate from historical patterns. In previous U.S. economic recessions since World War 2, two things invariably occurred - a decrease in Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and an increase in unemployment. However, 2023 contradicts these trends; GDP is dropping while the unemployment rate is decreasing.

Short-Term Rental Industry: Is It Recession-Proof?

In this evolving economic environment, one beacon remains steady: the resilience of the short-term rental industry. 5 Star STR has engaged with Rental Scale-up, PriceLabs, and KeyData to discuss whether the vacation rental industry can withstand a recession. The consensus is that despite economic downturns, people's desire to travel persists, though their habits may shift.

Given this scenario, short-term rental businesses must adapt to the changes and maintain flexibility in their operations to secure significant market share and consolidate their positions.

Roadmap for Short-Term Rental Success in a Recession

Below are two possible strategies for your short-term rental business:


1. Winning Strategy: Ensuring a Stable and Profitable Business

  • Support longer stays.

  • Diversify your distribution and keep an eye on changing source markets.

  • Experiment with different pricing strategies.

  • Reduce recurring and fixed expenses.

  • Streamline your operations.

  • Retain your best talent.

  • Understand and monitor your metrics.

  • Consider expanding your inventory.

  • Think and plan.

2. Losing Strategy: Not Adapting to Changing Market Conditions

  • Need to adapt to the upcoming challenges.

  • Neglecting market trends.

  • Ignoring changes to the guest source markets or segments.

  • Maintaining an ineffective pricing strategy.

  • Lack of a balanced OTA and Direct Booking strategy.

Running a short-term rental business in these challenging times can feel daunting, but remember you're not alone. 5 Star STR is here to provide guidance and support.

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Effective Strategies for Vacation Rental Manager

  1. Focus on the Guest Experience: Offering unique local experiences can make your property stand out. Capitalize on your location and emphasize these experiences in your listing description.

  2. Target the Domestic Market: As seen during the COVID-19 pandemic, domestic travel is trending. Focusing on attracting local guests can prove beneficial.

  3. Offer Multiple Cancellation Policies: Listings with flexible booking options rank higher in OTA search results and can help increase bookings while mitigating cancellation risks.

  4. Reduce Operational Costs:

  • Cut out unnecessary expenditures and embrace commission-based models.

  • Plan your business operations to survive with minimum staff and automate wherever possible.

  • Carefully analyze your financial transactions and trim any unnecessary expenses.


Implement a Proactive Marketing Plan:

  1. Concentrate on the marketing activities that yield the best results.

  2. Keep your business visible and maintain communication with your past guests.

  3. Establish a basic Customer Relationship Management (CRM) system to understand your guest demographics better.

  4. Offer Options for Longer Stays: Longer-term bookings may offer lower rates but provide steady revenue.

Remember, 5 Star STR is more than a short-term rental management platform. We are here to support your business development and success. Our commission-based model ensures that our interests align with yours – we succeed when you do.


Contact us to learn how you can grow your short-term rental business. With smart strategizing and planning, you can navigate a recession like a surfer rides waves. The desire to travel continues, and it's your job to accommodate it.


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